President Donald Trump's Vice Presidential Calculus

Is the patriotic move for Trump to end the tech bros?

Trump-Vance?

I do not believe that President Donald Trump will win the presidential election. Nor, if I am honest, do I suspect he wants to win the presidency.

I think he likes the life of an ex-president but he also likes the life of potential future president. He likes the Saudi bucks. He likes the attention. He likes everyone coming to visit him. He likes the trappings of power but has no idea what to do with it were he to have it.

As I don’t suspect Trump wants to win I think he will pick J.D. Vance as his running mate for reasons I’ll articulate below.

By way of background I correctly predicted that Donald Trump would win in 2016 and enthusiastically supported his campaign before I learned I was, in fact, supporting the Kushner presidency.

In 2020 I supported Joe Biden who I regard as a great president. He has his flaws, to be sure, but I think he’s the man for the moment.

With that out of the way, I think it’s fascinating to consider the thinking that Trump will undoubtedly face.

If you will recall Trump was choosing between three men in 2016: Newt Gingrich, Chris Christie, and Mike Pence.

It was ultimately decided by Trump’s inner circle — really Presidential candidate Jared Kushner — that Pence was the best choice for a running mate. The thinking was that Pence would be expected to bring along the Koch money.

That didn’t happen. Pence failed to deliver. I don’t see Trump making that error again. If he picks a running mate, that running mate will be expected to deliver the considerable cash needed to win the election. (Ironically I suspect that both Christie and Gingrich could have brought Trump enough cash through their networks.)

There have been many suggested players in the race — Axios lists eight — but for my money it comes down to three players: J. D. Vance, Doug Burgum, and Ben Carson. Vance represents Tech, Burgum represents Oil, and Carson represents the Black Mob.

Big Oil is split and resistant to get involved after Pioneer has been justly accused of price collusion so Burgum is out.

We don’t talk about how the Black Mob enabled Trump to win by refusing to turn out the inner city vote for Hillary Clinton in 2016. Organized crime was only too happy to have a nonentity like Ben Carson at the head of HUD.

But I suspect that the Black Mob knows not to rescue Trump. The Black Mob already paid its vig to the Republican Party when 50 Cent — now a liquor salesman — came to visit Speaker Mike Johnson and announced investments and a move to Johnson’s native Shreveport.

Not your grandfather’s Republican Party.

Each of these players represents an interest group which is closely linked to the future of the Republican Party. Big Tech, with its ties to Israeli, German, Russian, Indian, and Chinese foreign interests, is happy to harm the independent American media world. Believe the incipient and would be Tech Fascists like Balaji Srinivasan and Curtis Yarvin.

Trump can’t pick a fellow Floridian so Marco Rubio and Byron Donalds are out. Could you imagine voting for Donald Trump-Donalds? Isn’t that too many Donalds?

It’s unlikely he’d pick Elise Stefanik as the money behind her isn’t super close to Trump. It’s similarly unlikely that billionaire Larry Ellison wants to finally fund Senator Tim Scott while drawing the ire of the federal government after Oracle has already gotten into trouble for its Cerner acquisition. Oracle is both too Chinese and too Israeli.

Senator Tom Cotton is too smart to want to be Vice President. Besides, he labors under the delusion that the U.S. deep state can effectively be anti-China while he also represents the state that has Wal-Mart in it. Not likely to work. Could you imagine Trump being comfortable with someone towering over him?

For many in Silicon Valley they need to have Trump back in power. They liked the lower interest rates. They liked the talk of being anti-China without having to actually be anti-China. And, more importantly, they have money.

Frauds are drawn to Trump. So it’s not surprising that Palantir fraud Jacob Helberg donated to Trump “for Israel” or that Elon whisperer (and pro-Israel genocidaire) Shaun Maguire ponied up.

We’ve previously explored Trump’s Tory and Germanic ties—ties which became obvious when Lord Cameron went to visit him at Mar-A-Lago and dangled the prospect of British help to dodge the documents case. The Tories wanted Ukraine aid to pass—and so Trump allowed it to pass. Trump is always self-interested.

We’ve elsewhere talked about Vance and Trump. I know Vance socially but I think it’s safe to say that the friendship is altogether concluded. Like Gaetz, I tried to recruit him for the U.S. I hold out hope that he might one day call me and realize the error of his ways.

The aesthetics are clear. Vance looks like the understudy that Trump imagines. Vance is a convert to the Trumpist cause. Trump loves someone who bends the knee.

But behind the scenes, Vance was hoped to be the redneck Obama. Vance was spotted and assessed by Amy Chua, who is Chinese-Israeli connected. Chua and her husband had gotten in trouble for “grooming” her Yale Law students.

He then moved to Steve Case, the founder of America Online, who is sort of WASP-Pro-American Chinese aligned.

Thiel took possession of Vance shortly thereafter and pumped money behind Vance first with venture capital and then with political capital.

In his VC days I met with Vance at his spartan offices in Cincinnati to have him back Clearview — only to be turned down, strangely. He liked the product, he liked the team, and yet…

Still, I liked Vance. I told Peter Thiel that the only way for Vance to win was to win the primary and the only way to do that was to have Trump’s blessing. Shortly thereafter, Congressman Matt Gaetz convinced Donald Trump to endorse Vance.

And yet no sooner had Vance won the primary then did he join up with some very dangerous figures.

Two colleagues of mine contacted Vance and told him not to accept money from Rebekah Mercer. We told Vance that she represented the Russian federation. Vance admitted that others had warned him about her.

And yet..

Vance went on to do a fundraiser with her.

How shall we think about Trump’s potential decision to nominate Vance?

Well, it seems obvious that the more attention the tech community gets the more it starts to unravel.

What’s more interesting is who doesn’t show up.

You’ll notice two names which aren’t there — Peter Thiel and Marc Andreessen. They got the memo.

One wonders if this is the Godfather’s kiss. Is Trump doing the Tories a solid by exposing Tech?