On The Road Again... And Revising My Kamala Harris Model
Out and about
Dear friends,
I’ll be traveling in California until November 4-13. I intend to move back to California early next year. Please let me know if you’re free to meet up for a chat.
November 13-26 I’ll be in London and Paris (and possibly Brussels).
After that it’s off to Houston, Texas for Thanksgiving.
For those paying attention I’m visiting all the real foreign capitals — California (Los Angeles), United Kingdom (London), France (Paris), “Europe” (Brussels), and Texas (Houston).
I expect to be back in the Imperial City sometime in early December.
Do say hello or let me know if there’s anyone I should see when I’m traveling.
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I’m interested first and foremost in being correct, not so much on what I want to happen. Still I’d like very much for Kamala Harris to win the presidency and I suspect she will.
Those who have followed my career know that I got correct Brexit, the rise of Donald Trump, the ascension of Joe Biden, and the narrow Republican victory in 2022.
So I’m being asked to predict what I think will happen tomorrow.
I have a model that I have been building and tweaking over the years which relies largely on surname analysis.
That model currently had Kamala Harris winning the popular vote and the election by about 5 to 5.5 points. Is it right? I guess we will see.
Oops. :)